Let's see... If I bid 12, and get zero, I'd lose 120 points... If you bid 12 and got all 12, you'd get 140 points... That'd do it...
Of course realistically, I won't be bidding 12. Even with a Strong hand I don't see anyone bidding 12. So if it were say 5 (a strong bid in this players view) then I'd lose 50 and you could gain 70... not enough.
If I make my bid (whatever it is) I think I'm pretty safe. If I miss my bid by one (whatever it is), I think I'd still win regardless...
Unless CT get's a really strong hand.
It's all about conservative bidding and making them every round. I've only missed one bid, and it shows.
If you bid 0 12 times, and made all of them, it'd be 240 points... Which would be formiddable.
If you get a few Wizards and make those, then you are looking at around 300 points or so... Hmm, fancy that...