Lions and Tigers and Bears, Oh My!

N

Nightstalkers

Guest
Probability for drawing the following cards out of a 60 card deck on turn 1 (8 cards):
At Least 1 Ghazban Ogre (out of 4)
At Least 0 Other (out of 56)

Number of ways to get your combo = 1,138,126,770
Number of possible hands = 2,558,620,845

Probability of drawing this combo = 44.48%


Happy?

Anyways, you seem to have a problem with your better cards:

Probability for drawing any of 4 cards out of a 60 card deck

Prob. of this number of your special card(s)
(none) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Hand .6005 .3363 .0593 .0038 .0001
Turn #1 .5552 .3626 .0761 .006 .0001
Turn #2 .5125 .3844 .0941 .0088 .0003
Turn #3 .4723 .4019 .113 .0123 .0004
Turn #4 .4345 .4156 .1326 .0166 .0007
Turn #5 .399 .4256 .1527 .0217 .001
Turn #6 .3658 .4323 .1729 .0276 .0015


And mana curve:

Mana Curve of Cards' Casting Cost:
0-1 mana  21
2 mana  6
3 mana  3
4 mana  9
5 mana  1
6 mana 0
7+ mana 0
Personally, I could never get the foliage to cover anything up. No matter how hard I tried.

Transmission Terminated.....................
 
B

bryson430

Guest
ummm. pardon?

Not sure I understood a word of that last post....
 
N

Nightstalkers

Guest
The top is the Gazban ogre that you said that you wanted to draw on the first turn...

Second is the probability that you would draw any of the four Gazban Ogre's from one through six draws...

and last is a brief compilation of mana curve...


Transmission Terminated............
 
N

Nightstalkers

Guest
This is the abbreviated version:

Code: 
0-1 Mana: 16
2 Mana: 2
5 Mana: 1
Connection Terminated....
 
B

bryson430

Guest
Ummm...ok.

Beserk unrestricted? Is that not a little ill-advised? Giant growth on a 2/2, beserk, fork (or another beserk) is 20 damage for 5 mana (or 6 if you needed the fork) Overpowered? Not on ot's own, but the point is it multiplys, not adds power - can get out of control rather quickly.
 
T

train

Guest
The reason it's unrestricted is that it isn't hard to handle a creature that's been berserked twice, or three times...

Anyone playing 1.5 not running Swords to plowshares, Diabolic edicts, lightning bolts, counterspells(force of will...), or even as simple as fog... is not running fast control.

Berserk has not ruled the seen anytime recently, and with all the other cards out there, there really wouldn't be much of an archtype for it...

The one you'd more likely see is the ball lightning/blistering firecat, berserk, berserk.

Plain and simple: It's just not strong enough for WOTC to warrant a restriction for it...

I'd say prove them otherwise...;) :cool:
 
N

Nightstalkers

Guest
and remember, use your berserk to kill an attacking creature if you can't any other way...

why be killed by a 1/1 Llanowar Elves?
 
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